
I first came across this term today, to be honest. And I was badly surprised when I learnt that a prominent intellectual actually proposed a direct method of income gap reduction, which, in my opinion, fundamentally undermines liberal capitalism.
The issue our economy has been facing is that though incomes were rising across the board, those in the upper quartile were getting richer much quicker than those on the polar opposite, which leads to the misconception of the “rich gets richer, poor gets poorer”. Yes, income gap today is indeed a problem not just in economics, but also in business, politics, or society. And yes, this paragraph is meant for people who haven’t been exposing themselves.
A wage shock seems legitimate for its candid approach to curb a perpetually widening income gap, but firstly, it poses a danger by freezing top earners’ wages. The richest are the petrol kiosks of the economy – they consume, they invest, they run businesses, they save, they withdraw. They provide livelihood to various sectors. If they were to know that their incomes would not rise, would they fuel the economy as they are doing so now? These millionaires would surely start to save more, invest less, pull out of markets – conclusively, they have a propensity to halt their inputs should they see no security in income.
On the other hand, should the poorest be rewarded with a relative wage increase, there would bound to be a few doubts on the serviceability of the wage shock policy. First, what would the poor do with the additional cash? Does purchasing power essentially increase? And if it does, is it in line with the wage shock suggestion? Well, negative answers to all of those. Disposable income increases but would likely not be tapped on, for they would be, similar to the rich, saved in bank accounts. All these point to the worst nightmare in the demand-centric Keynesian theory – massive withdrawals of money from the circular flow of income.
Banks must then be counted on to multiply these increases in savings receipts by structured financial engineering, i.e. inter-bank or inter-corporation investment. But then again, how would the new (or rather, re-created) equity be returned to society? Simple – dividends. And sadly, I put forth that only the rich are capable of receiving stock dividends and continue to engage in stock manipulation (note that they have part of their net worth in stocks, bonds and other financial products so curbing the rise of their incomes is largely superficial), which essentially undoes the efforts of the wage shock ‘therapy’.
Second, there would then be questions on where the additional 50% increase in the average Joe’s paychecks over three years would come from. Certainly not the government – for it would then be explicit income redistribution. And so employers? Well, what about keeping Singapore’s labour market competitive – when many of the lower income group work at plants or stores with an option of relocating overseas?
And then we talk about boosting productivity as a long term solution for rising costs of production and hence living. How can we boost productivity when the lower-income bracket, mostly engaged in intermediate or penultimate stages of producing consumer goods and services, are ordered to be payed ‘more justifiably’? Surely we don’t want that to happen, and much less losing our competitive edge.
This presents another issue with our economy – it has become to globalised, too international. What is moving our modest consumer market forward are large multinationals based in Singapore, securing inputs from Singapore, merchandising output in Singapore. Should there be any inbalance in either door of the factory, possibilities are the firm would pack up and leave for Changi. In this case, rising overheads due to a forced increase in wages are forcing them out. Should both income groups start to save more as described earlier, a cost-output spiral would be inevitable.
Should we really decide to go ahead with the wage shock, then I must put right hand up and say that three years, as suggested by the mastermind Lim Chong Yah is too long a time period. Within a shorter time span, say, one year, there must be proactive efforts in increasing worker’s wages; while ensuring the richer get lesser or no perks, not curbing any slight incremental behaviour. Policies have to be a moderation of extremes, for no bird can take flight with only one wing.
What it seems now is that the rich should be punished for being so, and the poor are an unfortunate group that ought to be sympathised by policymakers and receive help. I urge everyone out there to be slower in reaching this conclusion. We can also put it such that the rich have been working hard and smart enough to reach where they are, and it’s time for the poor to learn how to lead a new lifestyle.
But just as army recruits are not left out in the field to fight without a commander, this group of people need guidance. The government has to take a more frontseat role in developing and executing income redistribution techniques, especially those built on the basis of self-help. One of the issues to resolve is the lack of proper economic knowledge among the masses, for mindsets that have been bred across generations tend to be ill-informed ones and end up producing unfavourable results for the economy as a whole. Families could be educated on financial management, be engaged in actively contributing to the workforce, and how their subtle actions could have implications on the economy which would in turn affect their own livelihoods.
All these flak about how our economy has become, what are the issues, how should we resolve them, are all a layer of soil which have much more than meets the eye under them. In my opinion, our world has had enough economic reform, and since it has proved to be largely ineffective, it is timely to bring our attention to social reform, communal reform, behavioural reform, and even cognitive reform. That is the root of the problem.
References:
http://asiancorrespondent.com/80604/wage-shock-in-singapore-yay-or-nay/
http://www.todayonline.com/Singapore/EDC120414-0000055/Wage-shock-therapy-too-risky–Lim-Swee-Say